CME x Glassnode:
BTC Market Trends Report

Institutional-grade analysis of the key drivers and trends shaping digital assets in H1 2025. Delivered with the depth, clarity, and insight that define Glassnode’s standard.

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CME Group is the world's leading derivatives marketplace, enabling clients to trade futures, options, and other financial instruments across various asset classes, including cryptocurrencies.

Institutional investors leverage Glassnode's industry-leading on-chain analytics to gain unique insights into capital flows, asset fundamentals, and market sentiment in Bitcoin and Ethereum.

Key Bitcoin trends to look out for

With over $38B in ETF inflows, deepening institutional presence, and rising adoption of CME-regulated instruments, Bitcoin entered the year on the back of historic growth. In H1, capital inflows largely plateaued. ETF flow data, combined with on-chain metrics and CME futures data, suggests that much of the current price range has been “priced in” by existing participants. Will fresh institutional capital return in H2?

Here is a preview of the many essential data-driven insights you will find in the 32-page report.

Bitcoin's Realized Cap hits record $872 billion

Bitcoin has absorbed over $400B in net inflows since the 2022 low, pushing realized cap to a record $872B. The rise marks a major accumulation phase and growing conviction across investor cohorts.

Bitcoin settled over $2.9 trillion on-chain in 2024

Despite lower price volatility, Bitcoin's role as a global settlement layer holds strong with trillions moved on-chain and transactional utility undiminished.

BTC Price Performance Since Cycle Low Chart by Glassnode

Despite drawdowns, Bitcoin ETF giants remained in profit

BlackRock and Fidelity holders show average cost bases of $69.2K and $57.4K, respectively. These levels have helped establish a soft price floor, highlighting the stabilizing influence of institutional capital in Bitcoin markets.

Options open interest sees 2x growth since last cycle

Reaching an ATH of $43B in 2024, options open interest has grown significantly, with institutional investors increasingly using CME’s options products for longer-dated strategies and structured positioning.

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Disclaimer: The information contained in this report is meant for informational purposes only and should not be interpreted as investment advice.

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